Will the US Department of Energy announce at least one additional Strategic Petroleum Reserve loan or sale before 2026-12-15?

tõenäosus 78% tähtaeg 2026-12-15 (56p jäänud) Energeetika

Avaldatud 2026-09-29 — 77 päeva enne tähtaega, väidetud enne tulemuse selgumist.

The United States Department of Energy maintains the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, a government-owned stockpile of crude oil authorized for release through loans or sales under federal statute. Such transactions are announced publicly when approved. The question addresses whether any announcement of this type, beyond one referenced prior action, will occur by the specified date.

Väide

The US Department of Energy announces at least one additional Strategic Petroleum Reserve loan or sale (beyond the 40 million barrel action) before 2026-12-15

Põhjendusahel

Iran-Hormuz disruption keeps oil/diesel elevated
Political pressure on Biden/Trump to control fuel prices intensifies through winter heating season
DOE responds with additional SPR release to signal supply management
Announcement is made publicly

Tõendid seni

2 kinnitavat · 0 ümberlükkavat signaali · 7 kinnitust · 2 murtud eeldust. Tõendid ise on osa täisdossiest.

Tõenäosuse ajalugu

Uuendatud 15 korda alates lisamisest (viimati 2026-10-19) — 82% alguses → 78% täna.

Mida jälgida

eeltingimus The US Department of Energy issues a public announcement or press release authorizing a new Strategic Petroleum Reserve loan or sale. täheldatud
eeltingimus The US Department of Energy publishes a public notice or press release announcing a new Strategic Petroleum Reserve release or sale distinct from the 40 million barrel action täheldatud
juhtnäitaja US crude oil or diesel futures prices rise above $90 per barrel täheldatud

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